4 in 5 Victorians say tax and regulatory settings are discouraging rental investment

May 1, 2026

Recent independent research commissioned by the Real Estate Institute of Victoria (REIV), surveying 1,000 Victorian adults, has revealed a clear and consistent message: current tax and regulatory settings are widely seen as discouraging investment in the rental market.

For the build-to-rent (BTR) sector and professional property managers, the findings reinforce what is already being felt across the market — increasing pressure on supply, rising investor caution, and growing demand for more stable, long-term housing solutions.

Strong community consensus on investment barriers

The research shows overwhelming alignment across both renters and property investors:

  • 81% of Victorians agree that current tax and regulatory settings are discouraging rental investment
  • 83% of renters share this view
  • 58% of rental providers do not feel adequately supported by government
  • 56% of investors would consider selling, reducing their portfolio, or shifting investment interstate if conditions remain unchanged

For BTR operators, these results are particularly significant. Reduced private investment in traditional rental stock can tighten supply further, increasing reliance on institutional-grade rental housing models.

Supply risk signals emerging from investor behaviour

One of the most important findings for the rental sector is the potential for supply contraction:

  • More than half of Victorian rental providers (56%) are considering exiting or restructuring their portfolios if current settings continue
  • A further 27% would sell and change their investment strategy entirely

This indicates not just sentiment frustration, but a real risk of capital movement away from Victorian rental housing.

For BTR providers, this reinforces the importance of long-term, stable ownership structures that are less sensitive to individual investor withdrawal cycles.

Tax reform and investor incentives remain key levers

The research also highlights where policy changes could materially shift investment behaviour:

  • 58% of rental providers would increase investment if targeted tax incentives were introduced
  • 44% would respond positively to a freeze on property-based taxes
  • 86% of renters say they would be more likely to purchase a home if stamp duty were removed

These findings suggest that both supply-side and demand-side interventions are shaping housing outcomes — and that tax settings remain one of the most powerful tools influencing market behaviour.

What this means for Build-to-Rent operators

For the BTR sector, these insights reinforce several key strategic realities:

1. Institutional rental housing is becoming more important

As individual investor participation potentially declines, demand for professionally managed, large-scale rental housing is likely to grow.

2. Stability is a competitive advantage

BTR assets, with long-term ownership and management models, are better positioned to withstand policy-driven volatility compared to fragmented investor-owned stock.

3. Tenant demand is being shaped by ownership constraints

With home ownership barriers (such as stamp duty) remaining high, renters are more likely to stay in the rental market longer — increasing demand for quality, long-term rental options.

4. Policy risk is now a core investment consideration

Tax and regulatory settings are no longer background factors — they are actively influencing capital allocation decisions.

Regional sentiment adds another layer

The research also shows a geographic divide:

  • - 70% of regional rental providers feel unsupported by government
  • - Compared to 56% in Melbourne
  • This suggests that investment confidence challenges are not confined to metropolitan markets and may be even more pronounced in regional areas.

    The findings send a clear message ahead of future policy decisions: without recalibration of tax and regulatory settings, Victoria risks further constraining rental supply at a time when demand remains structurally high.

    For the build-to-rent sector, however, this environment also reinforces a growing opportunity — to provide stable, professionally managed rental housing in a market where traditional supply pathways are under increasing pressure.

    Source: REIV Melbourne