The Block 2025 Auction Weekend: What the Market Expects to Happen

October 23, 2025

It’s that time again. The Block 2025 auction weekend is here, and excitement is building across Australia. As the five Daylesford homes prepare to go under the hammer, property watchers are asking:

Here’s what the experts, and the data, are saying about how the big day might unfold.

For 2025, The Block broke tradition. Instead of restoring old heritage homes, contestants built five luxury new-builds from scratch in Daylesford, Victoria.

Key details:

  • Auction Day: Saturday, 25 October 2025
  • Finale Air Date: Sunday, 26 October 2025
  • Price Guides: $3.0 million – $3.5 million
  • Estimated Reserves: $2.7 million – $3.0 million

Each property features a similar layout, so the differentiators will come down to styling, landscaping, and emotional appeal — a true test of design and buyer psychology.

The Market Context: Opportunity Meets Caution

The broader Australian auction market remains strong in late 2025, with clearance rates improving across Sydney, Brisbane, and Melbourne. Buyers are returning, and competition is fierce for quality homes.

That said, Victoria’s prestige segment faces some challenges. Property taxes and cautious sentiment have cooled enthusiasm for high-end regional purchases. Daylesford remains desirable — but its buyer pool is small, and not every bidder is ready to spend $3 million on a weekend retreat.

Market Sentiment: Mixed but Hopeful

Industry insiders and fans are divided.

  • Optimists believe The Block magic will push results higher, thanks to national exposure and architectural appeal.
  • Skeptics say identical layouts could limit buyer excitement and result in a few homes passing in.

As one Reddit user quipped:

“They’re all around $3 million. I can’t see all of them selling on the day — maybe one standout, but not five.”

Still, every season has its surprises — and televised auctions have a way of sparking competitive bidding.

What to Watch on Auction Day

  1. Auction Order: Going early often sets the tone — will the producers save the strongest home for last?
  2. Buyer Identity: Will repeat buyer Danny Wallis return, or will new investors step up?
  3. Bidding Energy: Early, confident bids often lead to stronger overall results.
  4. Pass-Ins: If one or two homes don’t sell, it will shift the energy fast.

These elements often dictate The Block’s most dramatic moments — and the size of those all-important profits.

Our Forecast

If conditions stay steady, here’s what’s most likely:

  • 1–2 homes: Sell for $3.3m–$3.6m, exceeding expectations.
  • 2–3 homes: Sell close to reserve.
  • 1 property: May pass in or sell post-auction.

Expect the winning team to secure a $300k–$500k profit above reserve, with the remaining contestants seeing smaller but still respectable gains.

Why these Results Matter

Beyond the drama, The Block finale provides a real-world snapshot of Australia’s property market. Strong results could signal renewed buyer confidence in Victoria’s prestige segment. On the flip side, flat outcomes may highlight that even The Block’s star power can’t overcome cautious spending in 2025.

Either way, all eyes will be on Daylesford this weekend as the hammers fall, emotions rise, and another season of The Block comes to a thrilling close. Good luck to everyone involved!